“The assumption that Ethiopia’s armed opposition will fracture under the weight of its own differences may prove premature. Merrill Herzog was in country this month, and from analysis and time spent in the north, saw a level of capability amongst some of the opposition groups that has been downplayed and underestimated. These groups may be more capable than traditional analysis is giving them credit for, and are confronting a federal military that, at times and in certain areas, did not appear fully prepared for a multi-front challenge. The coalition does not necessarily need a common vision for Ethiopia to create a sustained challenge to the government."